More than 700 events · 14m room nights · US$12bn GVA · 49 countries · 180 cities · in the past 12 months

A tenth of the world's output and employment depends on the visitor economy

The visitor economy is one of the fastest levers a country holds. Run as one system, it turns a good decision into jobs and growth within a season. Living Lab shows where the next growth is and how to reach it.

In the last 12 months our OECD and UN SDG aligned model has been deployed at more than 700 events, 49 nations and 180 cities. They delivered 14 million room nights and over US$12bn in gross value added

What a national government gets

What last year delivered, by sector, region, and event, net of displacement and leakage, to a standard a national statistics office would adopt. What each option would add before it is signed: a visa regime, a levy, a hosting bid, a route incentive, a hotel pipeline. Incentives for routes, events and investment sized on what they will return. The model, the data and a trained national team sit inside the jurisdiction.

GVA, tax, employment, and retained revenue from the visitor economy, stated at the level a cabinet paper needs. Which events earn the most for the country and which regions have the most headroom. Where the value stays and where the supply chain could keep more. Available in minutes for any route, event, or season, and rolled up into one account of the year that shows the trajectory.

What each option adds, on the same model that measured last year. The access ceiling for every region, and where adding routes, rooms or transport raises it most. Hotel keys and rental licences sequenced so each opening is absorbed and pays back. The event calendar paced so local firms grow into the demand. Route and hosting incentives priced against their return, net of what the market would have delivered anyway. Every decision is tested for its effect on every other domain.

ProductYour questionYou getWhat it changes
Signal137Which of my events are delivering, and which are not?Every event ranked on jobs, FTE, tax, and GVA, on one methodYou support the events that are productive and optimise the mix for retained GVA
Signal137How much of what we generate stays in the country?Retained value by region and by sector, with the leakage namedYou see which supply chain keeps the value and which leaks it outside your border
Signal137Can I have the answer today, not at the end of the quarter?Reports on demand: any route, event, or season, in minutesEvidence arrives while the decision is still open, and as often as you ask
Signal137What do I tell leadership at year end?Monthly, seasonal, and annual roll-ups across the whole systemOne account of what the visitor economy delivered, not six ministries' versions
Demand137What happens if we do nothing?Base, downside, and supported scenarios with a stated counterfactualThe cost of waiting is priced, so acting and not acting are compared on the same terms
Demand137Which industries should we grow so more of the value stays here?The sectors where retention gains are largest, rankedIndustrial policy and tourism policy point the same way
Demand137How many keys should we approve, where, and in what order?Hotel capacity tested against forecast demand by location and by yearYou approve rooms the demand will fill, and sequence them so each opening is absorbed
Demand137How many short-term rental licences should we release, or withdraw?The yield, displacement, and fiscal effect of each licensing levelLicences move with hotel supply, not against it
Demand137How do I sequence events so the supply chain grows with them?A calendar paced to absorptive capacity: caterers, last mile, airliftLocal firms scale into the demand instead of losing it to imports
Demand137If I change this, what are the trade-offs over there?The effect of any decision on every other domain, quantifiedNo rule that helps one sector by quietly taxing another
Demand137Which should we back first, and at what level?Candidate routes, events, and investments ranked on return, net of displacementIncentive money goes to demand the market would not have delivered anyway
BothWho holds this, and where?Model, data, and a trained national team inside your jurisdictionThe capability survives the change of official or consultant

Five questions this answers

What did the visitor economy deliver last year, region by region, and where is the headroom?

GVA, tax, employment and retained revenue, by region, by sector and by event, to a standard a national statistics office would adopt. One account of the year shows which regions are compounding and where the headroom is.

Which events will grow the economy most next year, and what will each return?

Every candidate event scored against the national calendar, the route capacity into the host region, the hotel supply in the bid week, and the retained-revenue record of comparable events. Each is ranked on what it adds to the country, and the hosting case is stated in the number the treasury will sign.

Where should the next hotel keys and routes land so every opening is absorbed and pays back?

The access ceiling for every region: how many visitors the routes, rooms and transport can deliver, and where added capacity raises it most. Hotel keys, rental licences and route incentives are sequenced so each opening is absorbed by demand that exists, and priced against their return.

Where can short-term rentals grow without tightening housing, and what rule gets the balance right?

Short-term rental supply mapped against housing stock, rents, and visitor demand, district by district. A licence regime, a cap or a levy is tested on the model before it is signed. The test shows the effect on visitor nights, retained revenue, housing and every other domain, so the country can choose the rule that grows the visitor economy and keeps the homes.

Where will next season’s demand build, so the country is ready before it arrives?

Event cadence, accommodation load, and route capacity read against search interest and social sentiment by origin market, week by week. The demand calendar shows where next season’s growth is building and where capacity should go first.

Calendar optimisation example

USE CASES

La Sagra

One system. The size of the prize.

Tourism is close to a tenth of the world’s output and employment, and almost every government still plans it in pieces. A country that governs its visitor economy as one system keeps more of what it pays for. On an illustrative US$20bn economy, five points of retention is US$1bn a year.

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